El Paso, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

061
FXUS64 KEPZ 021654
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
954 AM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 937 AM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

 - Dry conditions and warmer temperatures through Tuesday, with
   breezy afternoon winds today.

 - A backdoor cold front will bring breezy to windy east winds and
   cooler air Wednesday and Thursday.

 - The dry conditions look to continue Friday and Saturday,
   warming back up to above normal.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 937 AM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

A generally quiet and dry weather pattern will continue over
southern New Mexico and far west Texas through next Saturday.
A weak upper level disturbance is passing over the area today,
generating variable high level cloudiness, warm temperatures, and
lightly breezy west winds this afternoon. Conditions will be
similar on Tuesday with lower wind speeds expected.

On Wednesday a blocking pattern on the west coast set up a
northerly flow pattern aloft over New Mexico. This shift will
allow a cold front to push into the local area early Wednesday
morning. The air mass begins the front will lower temperatures 8
to 10 degrees back closer to seasonal normals for Wednesday and
Thursday. As the front moves through the local area, breezy to
windy conditions with winds from the east will occur on Wednesday
diminishing on Thursday. Strongest winds gusts will occur along
the west facing slopes of area mountains.

A low pressure system will start to move into the desert southwest
by late Thursday and linger into the area through the weekend.
Initially the system will mainly increase mid and high level
cloudiness, eventually enough moisture may be present for a slight
chance of light showers by next Sunday and Monday. Snow shower
potential will be limited to elevations above 8000 feet with
light accumulations expected.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 937 AM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions through the period with SCT180 BKN-OVC250. Surface
winds variable AOB 7 knots this morning, increasing to west
10-15G25 knots this afternoon.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 937 AM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

Dry southwest flow today and Tuesday will result in variable high
clouds and well above normal temperatures. A weak weather system
moving through the area generate breezy afternoon winds this
afternoon. Winds aloft will become northerly Wednesday, allowing
a cold front and cooler temperatures (back down to normal values),
along with breezy to windy east winds. Next Pacific trough will
move through the fire zones Friday and Saturday, bringing in more
clouds and temperatures back to well above normal. There will be a
slight chance of light showers next Sunday and Monday.

Min RH: Lowlands 25-35% through Saturday. Mountains 20-30%
Gila/Black Range through Saturday; Sacramento Mtns 25-40% through
Saturday. Vent rates fair-good this afternoon, and again on
Wednesday; poor-fair all other days through Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  42  68  39  61 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            36  60  33  54 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               36  64  34  59 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               33  63  31  60 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               26  45  23  36 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    37  65  35  59 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              36  63  33  58 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   38  68  35  63 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                35  66  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       43  66  40  60 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                33  62  28  56 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             40  68  36  61 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               40  59  36  52 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   41  68  35  60 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             38  65  35  58 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           41  65  38  60 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            30  65  27  60 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    36  68  32  63 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 41  67  36  62 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                34  62  31  58 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  28  57  26  46 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                27  56  25  48 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 31  53  27  45 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  26  61  23  53 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                38  65  34  58 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                33  65  30  60 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             30  63  28  58 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   34  65  31  59 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    30  70  26  67 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               31  67  27  64 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  39  63  36  57 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   38  67  33  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  36  65  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           39  66  35  60 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               43  64  40  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...04-Lundeen